|
|
Modelling population structure and their changes: Neolithic demographic transition in Central Europe.
Galeta, Patrik ; Brůžek, Jaroslav (advisor) ; Černý, Viktor (referee) ; Fialová, Ludmila (referee)
Neolithic dispersal in Europe has been alternatively explained through spread of farmers (migrationist position) or by adoption of farming by Mesolithic foragers (indigenist position). Mixed explanations have considered a combination of both processes. Neolithic dispersal in Central Europe was traditionally viewed as migrationist process. It was believed that farmers colonized the area and replaced indigenous foragers. During the last decade, authors have adhered to integrationist view as they have observed the continuity between Mesolithic and Neolithic technologies. Interestingly, the most recent genetic analyses again invoked the idea of colonization. Surprisingly, little attention has been paid to demographic modeling. The farming quickly spread in Central Europe between 5 600 and 5 400 calBC. Assuming colonization, Neolithic dispersal in Central Europe would have to be associated with high fertility rate of farmers. Our goal was to test whether the fertility rate of farmers was high enough to allow them to colonize Central Europe without admixture with local foragers. We produced four stochastic models of population dynamics of farmers during their colonization in Central Europe. The principle of Model 1-3 is based on methods of population projections. Model 4 stems from the wave of advance...
|
|
|
The Analysis of Economic Dependency Ratio in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic
Čechová, Adriana ; Miskolczi, Martina (advisor) ; Langhamrová, Jana (referee)
The aim of this thesis was to find out how economic dependency ratio develops in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic from 1990 to the present, and to analyze based on results of official projections also anticipated future developments. Using statistical indexes (economic, old-age and young age dependency ratio) it was shown that the rate of ratio in both countries since 1990 gradually increases in the future and should continue this trend. In the Czech Republic seems to be more favorable than the situation in the Slovak Republic, where was, is and will be an enormous rise in the number and proportion of seniors.
|
|
|
Analysis of the Greek pension system from 2010: Fiscal sustainability and its future development
Koreček, Jakub ; Potužák, Pavel (advisor) ; Svoboda, Miroslav (referee)
The theme of this thesis is to analyze in detail the current pension system of Greece (2010) and attempts to mathematically predict the future development up to 2060. The main content is a mathematical model able to count the balance of the pension system. In the analysis, the emphasis is on the balancing pension system in the long term, and thus examines the impact of changes on the expenditure or revenue. The paper uses the component method for demographic projections. To extend the research was prepared in complete mathematical model pension system. The results demonstrated the ability to maintain the pension system in positive territory in 2060 with proper and sensitive parameter adjustment.
|
guest ::
